Archives July 2017

Can Stock Price History Be Used To Predict Future Prices? Part 2: LSTMs And GRUs

Last update on July 31, 2017.

Image Credit: Serhii Bobyk / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I investigate the potential of several well known neural network architectures to predict Canadian stock prices, given only historical prices and trade volumes. In part 1 of this series, I investigated convolutional neural networks and discovered that they had some predictive capability, though perhaps not enough to prove useful for trading.

For this instalment of the series, I’ve trained two different neural network architectures - the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) - on the same data. Both LSTM and GRU are instances of a ...

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Interview With Resurgent Capital, An Activist Investor In The Microcap Space

Last update on Sept. 15, 2017.

Image Credit: Lemau Studio / Shutterstock.com

 

[Jin's Note: I occasionally conduct interviews with fund managers and other investors to document their unique approach to investing. The following is an interview I conducted with Joel Freudman, manager of Resurgent Capital.]

Jin: Could you please introduce yourself?

Joel: My name is Joel Freudman. I am born and raised in Toronto, and studied Commerce at the University of Toronto and Law at Western University. I practiced law for about six years before deciding to establish Resurgent Capital Corp. In addition, I have been managing my personal investment portfolio for over ...

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Final Commentary On Premium Portfolio Stocks

Last update on July 17, 2017.

Image Credit: Mut Hardman / Shutterstock.com

On the third Monday of each month, I’ll comment on the performance of the premium portfolios and provide some additional analysis related to individual stocks. In this article, I will also provide a brief commentary on all stocks in the Premium portfolios and reflect on why many stocks in the portfolios didn’t perform up to expectations.

 

Premium Portfolio News

The performance of MoneyGeek's Premium portfolios for the month of June 2017 were as follows:

 

Jun 2017

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Moderately Aggressive

-4.6%

+2.5%

+37 ...

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My TFSA Update June 2017 - Throwing In The Towel On Long Term Oil Prices

Last update on July 10, 2017.

Image Credit: Yeongsik Im / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I (Jin Choi) talk about my goal of reaching $1 million in my TFSA account by 2033. If you want to know what a TFSA is, I recommend you read my free book. In this post, I’ll also provide updated numbers on the global oil supply and demand forecast, and explain why I no longer think that oil is guaranteed to reach $60/barrel.

 

June Results: Down 14.3%

At the end of June, I had $46,583 in my TFSA account, which was down by ...

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Why MoneyGeek's Portfolios Don't Include XRB or ZRR

Last update on July 3, 2017.

Image Credit: ahmetemre / Shutterstock.com

 

At the beginning of every month, I brief members on how MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios have performed and comment on the state of the financial markets. In this update, I’ll also explain why I’ve decided not to include real return bonds in MoneyGeek’s model portfolios.

 

June Performance of Regular Portfolios

The performance of MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios for the month of June 2017 were as follows:

 

Last Month

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Slightly Aggressive

-3.1%

+19.4%

+77.4%

Balanced

-2.9%

+17.2%

+64.5%

Slightly Conservative ...

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