Why Decision Trees Work Well For Investment Analysis

Last update on July 22, 2019.

Image Credit: Boo-Tique / Shutterstock.com

 

What is the best machine learning algorithm? The answer is, unsurprisingly, “it depends.” There are many different types of machine learning algorithms, each with their own unique way of modelling the real world in some fashion.

 

Tradeoffs on Model Complexity

The best algorithm is generally one that most closely mirrors the real world. Think of each machine learning algorithm as a set of lego boxes, each containing different shapes of bricks. If you’re going to build an airplane, you’re going to do better with lego boxes containing wing shaped ...

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It's Not Just Hype - Why Machine Learning Holds So Much Promise

Last update on July 8, 2019.

Image Credit: Grigorita Ko / Shutterstock.com

 

In the book “MoneyBall”, author Michael Lewis documented the story of the Oakland A’s baseball team. Despite their shoestring budget, the A’s consistently contended with teams with far bigger budgets, such as the New York Yankees. The secret of the team’s success boiled down to one thing - the use of statistics. Instead of relying on the subjective judgements of scouts, the A’s made rational decisions on player acquisitions using data.

Unfortunately, the story doesn’t have a good epilogue. Not long after the book’s publication in 2004, the team’s standing began ...

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Gold Moves Up - But Will It Continue To?

Last update on July 1, 2019.

Image Credit: photo BC / Shutterstock.com

At the beginning of every month, I brief members on how MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios have performed and comment on the state of the financial markets. In this update, I’ll also share my thoughts on gold.

 

June Performance of Regular Portfolios

The performance of MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios for the month of June 2019 were as follows:

 

Last Month

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Aggressive

+3.4%

-5.5%

+90.2%

Growth

+3.0%

-4.2%

+76.0%

Balanced

+2.6%

-3.2%

+62.2%

Conservative

+2.2%

-2.2 ...

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My TFSA Update May 2019 - The Final Article

Last update on June 17, 2019.

Image Credit: Fotokostic / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I (Jin Choi) talk about my journey of investing in my TFSA account. If you want to know what a TFSA is, I recommend you read my free book. In this update, I’ll explain why I’m discontinuing this series, and how the content of this website will change in the future.

 

May Results: Down 13.8%

At the end of May, I had $40,416 in my TFSA account, which is down by 13.8% since the end of last month. By comparison, the Canadian stock market ...

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Is A Recession Coming Soon?

Last update on June 3, 2019.

Image Credit: Jenson / Shutterstock.com

 

At the beginning of every month, I brief members on how MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios have performed and comment on the state of the financial markets. In this update, I’ll also talk about some economic indicators that point to a weakening global economy.

May Performance of Regular Portfolios

The performance of MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios for the month of May 2019 were as follows:

 

Last Month

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Aggressive

-8.9%

-7.9%

+84.0%

Growth

-7.8%

-6.4%

+70.9%

Balanced

-6.7%

-5.1%

+58 ...

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My TFSA Update April 2019

Last update on May 20, 2019.

Image Credit: Perfect Gui / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I (Jin Choi) talk about my journey of investing in my TFSA account. If you want to know what a TFSA is, I recommend you read my free book. In this update, I’ll give my thoughts on the current state of the Canadian oil and gas industry.

 

April Results: Up 12.3%

At the end of April, I had $46,898 in my TFSA account, which is up by 12.3% since the end of last month. By comparison, the Canadian stock market went up by ...

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A Strange Year For Quants

Last update on May 6, 2019.

Image Credit: Mattz90 / Shutterstock.com

 

At the beginning of every month, I brief members on how MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios have performed and comment on the state of the financial markets. In this update, I’ll also talk about how some quant strategies performed over the past year.

April Performance of Regular Portfolios

The performance of MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios for the month of April 2019 were as follows:

 

Last Month

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Aggressive

+4.4%

+1.7%

+102.0%

Growth

+3.9%

+1.9%

+85.3%

Balanced

+3.4%

+2.1%

+69.4 ...

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My TFSA Update March 2019

Last update on April 15, 2019.

Image Credit: Who is Danny / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I (Jin Choi) talk about my journey of investing in my TFSA account. If you want to know what a TFSA is, I recommend you read my free book. In this update, I’ll also talk about how my software development company is doing.

March Results: Down 3.5%

At the end of March, I had $41,747 in my TFSA account, which is down by 3.5% since the end of last month. By comparison, the Canadian stock market went up by 0.6% while the ...

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The Oncoming Tech IPOs

Last update on April 1, 2019.

Image Credit: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com

At the beginning of every month, I brief members on how MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios have performed and comment on the state of the financial markets. In this update, I’ll also give some thoughts on initial public offerings (IPOs) that are scheduled to happen this year.

 

March Performance of Regular Portfolios

The performance of MoneyGeek's Regular portfolios for the month of March 2019 were as follows:

 

Last Month

Last 12 Months

Since Apr 2013

Aggressive

0.0

-2.2%

+93.5%

Growth

+0.1%

-1.5%

+78.4%

Balanced

+0 ...

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My TFSA Update February 2019

Last update on March 18, 2019.

Image Credit: Chesky / Shutterstock.com

 

In this series, I (Jin Choi) talk about my journey of investing in my TFSA account. If you want to know what a TFSA is, I recommend you read my free book.

 

February Results: Flat 0.0%

At the end of February, I had $43,262 in my TFSA account, which didn’t change much since the start of the month. By comparison, the Canadian stock market went up by 3.0% while the U.S. stock market went up by 3.6% in Canadian dollar terms. Therefore, my portfolio underperformed ...

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